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#NDC

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Umweltbundesamt

Ab heute trifft sich die internat. #Klimapolitik auf Einladung von @AuswaertigesAmt @COP30 zum Petersberger Klimadialog in Berlin.
Das Treffen dient als inhaltliche & strategische Vorbereitung auf die COP30. Themen u. a.: #NDC #Klimafinanzierung #Biodiv #JustTransition
Ausführliche Infos zu den neuen nationalen Klimaschutzbeiträgen und warum diese so wichtig sind, um das 1,5-Grad-Ziels von Paris in Reichweite zu halten, gibt es auf unserer neuen NDC-Themenseite: umweltbundesamt.de/themen/klim

UmweltbundesamtNationale Klimaschutzbeiträge (NDC)Alle fünf Jahre sind die Vertragsstaaten des Übereinkommens von Paris dazu aufgerufen, neue nationale Klimaschutzbeiträge (NDC) vorzulegen. 2025 ist es wieder so weit. Mit den bis Mitte 2024 eingereichten NDCs steuert die Welt auf eine Erwärmung von 2,6 bis 3,1 Grad bis Ende des Jahrhunderts zu. Auf der COP28 verständigte man sich darauf, dass die neuen NDCs im Einklang mit 1,5 Grad stehen sollen.
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CelloMom On Cars

"Global #emissions will peak this decade, putting the world on course for a 2.6°C global average temperature rise by 2100.

[If #NDC targets are met], this increase could be limited to 2.3°C, and following through on mid-century decarbonisation commitments could further reduce it to 1.8°C.

To limit global warming to 1.5 degrees, the world needs to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 56% compared with 2022 levels by 2035, building up to a 90% reduction by 2050."

eurasiareview.com/03022025-g20

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CelloMom On Cars

"President Biden issued a call to action for states, local and tribal governments to keep stepping up if there is lack of support from the next administration.

The new targets provide a blueprint for action at state, local, and corporate levels and, as explained in the White House Fact Sheet, the Inflation Reduction Act has provided substantial support to implement those actions."

natlawreview.com/article/cutti
#NDC

National Law Review · Cutting Carbon: Biden White House Sets Bold 2035 Climate GoalsBy Bruce White
Public
CelloMom On Cars

#Canada sets modest #NDC target: 45-50% emissions cut by 2035, while fossil fuel production continues

"Although this is a positive development, its heavy reliance on fossil fuels that accounted for 76 per cent of the total energy supply in 2023 is a big question for the country to address. "

downtoearth.org.in/climate-cha

Down To Earth · Canada sets modest NDC target: 45-50% emissions cut by 2035, while fossil fuel production continuesBy Rudrath Avinashi
Continued thread
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CelloMom On Cars

Money. Mouth.

"The #AmazonFund is one of the most well-known financial mechanisms for supporting efforts to reduce emissions from #deforestation and degradation, with more than 100 projects in its portfolio. Last year, the fund committed R$1.3 billion (US$226.3m) for such projects."
Plus #Brazil's #Climate Fund,
plus tax reform,
plus sustainability sovereign bonds.

eco-business.com/news/cop29-fi
#NDC

Eco-Business · COP29: Five key takeaways from Brazil’s 2035 climate pledgeBy Orla Dwyer, Yanine Quiroz, Giuliana Viglione
Public
anlomedad

Forests can't be used in NDC (nationally determined contribution).Forests are in adaptation mode, that is, death by drought, bugs, fires, until new ecosystem members have moved in long after °C is stabilized.
Trees adapt to longer growth seasons, higher temperatures, over-fertilisation by CO2. This means less water and nutrients and makes them unhealthy.

Trees only park our CO2, then they burn.

#Koutsodendris et al 2020 counted pollen at Lake Ohrid, Albania.
Look at the gap between rising °C 🟡 vs rising pollen count for temperate/mesophilus trees 🟤 🟢.

Adapting to a new climate takes time, even with seed-carriers and migration corridors: 1000yrs until new ecosystem members have moved in and adaptation to a new stable climate is accomplished.

But we don't have migration corridors. We have settlements and agricultural wastelands with pesticides everywhere.

Also, sinks start outgassing once ppm drops. So if your #NDC include negative emissions by DACS or CCS to undo a temperature #overshoot, to really remove 1t CO2 from the system, you must remove 1.5t once we're in the negative emissions phase.

Outgassing is a physical process to balance changes in atmosphere composition. But of course, when ppm drops considerably, it also changes °C and regional climate and hydrological cycles – again. So your ecosystem is going into adaptation mode all over again. Forests burn.. again.

Overshoot scenarios aren't a good idea, even if we had working technology and concepts. CO2 removal adds another stressful phase and prolongs adaptation to changing factors – for us and our human systems, and for ecosystems on land and in the ocean.

Chart with data from Koutsodendris 2020, link below. It shows the interglacial called MIS11 from 426 thousand years ago, how the transition from glacial to interglacial played out at Lake Ohrid, Albania, regarding temperature, precipitation and pollen count for tree species from genus temperate (and mesophilus). Temperature begins to rise at 427.6 ky and reaches 7 degree celsius by 425.6 ky, 2 thousand years later. The pollen counts only begin to rise at 425.6 ky. This indicates a 2 thousand year gap. They find their potential average of 70% ( 50%) counts at 424.6 ky and 7°C, indicating a 1 thousand year gap between them and their temperature optimum of 7°C. Link: https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.915920
#ClimateCrisis#COP29#CCS
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CelloMom On Cars

At #COP29, Azerbaijan had also been expected to announce a new national climate plan – known as a nationally determined contribution (#NDC) – but it has yet to do so.

#Azerbaijan started a diplomatic spat with the EU

Meanwhile, Progress on COP29’s headline outcome – the new post-2025 climate finance goal (the NCQG) – continues to be incredibly slow."

climatechangenews.com/2024/11/

This #COP29 is not looking great.

Climate Home News · COP29 Day Four: Azerbaijan's fund on backburner and no finance progressAzerbaijan postpones the launch of a controversial climate fund and gets embroiled in a diplomatic spat with the EU
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Gerald Leppert, PhD :verified:

New report!
Do #ClimateChangeAdapation interventions have #impacts and are they #sustainable?
#Evaluation of #German #development cooperation in the sectors #agriculture #water #environmentalprotection & support for #NDCs & #NAPs.

• #ClimateChange-related #shocks & #stressors, #adaptation capacities partially addressed, but not enabling environment
• Nature-based solutions and infrastructure interventions particularly effective
• #NDC & #NAP support mostly effective

deval.org/fileadmin/Redaktion/

Public
Joey de Villa 🪗

Need something to listen to during your commute, workout, chores, or downtime? Check out Richard Campbell’s recent talk at NDC London, “The Next Decade of Software Development!” Entertaining *and* educational.

#NDC #presentation #prediction #predictions #computing #software #SoftwareDevelopment #programming #change #10Years #decade

globalnerdy.com/2023/06/20/ric

Global NerdyRichard “.NET Rocks” Campbell on the next decade of software development : Global NerdyWhat might the next decade of software development look like? Richard Campbell has some ideas and shares them in this talk from the 2023 edition of the NDC London conference. Here’s the video: I know Richard from my former life at Microsoft. He’s the host of the .NET Rocks and RunAs Radio podcasts, and long-time […]
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