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→ Why I'm Betting Against AI Agents in 2025 (Despite Building Them)
utkarshkanwat.com/writing/bett

“[E]rror compounding makes autonomous multi-step workflows mathematically #impossible at #production scale. […] Production systems need 99.9%+ #reliability. Even if you magically achieve 99% per-step reliability (which no one has), you still only get 82% success over 20 steps. This isn't a prompt #engineering problem. This is #mathematical reality.”

Utkarsh Kanwat · Why I'm Betting Against AI Agents in 2025 (Despite Building Them)I've built 12+ AI agent systems across development, DevOps, and data operations. Here's why the current hype around autonomous agents is mathematically impossible and what actually works in production.
#AI#Agents#prompt

alojapan.com/1339423/koreas-au Korea’s Autonomous A2Z, Kanematsu team up for Level 4 self-driving in Japan #Autonomous #driving #Japan #JapanNews #JapanTopics #Korea #news #selfdriving Han Ji-hyeong (left), CEO of Autonomous A2Z, and Koichiro Okamoto, general manager of Kanematsu Corp., pose after signing an autonomous driving partnership between the two companies in Tokyo on Monday. (Autonomous A2Z) Korean autonomous driving solutions provider Autonomous A2Z announc

#BorderPatrol Wants Advanced #AI to #Spy on American Cities

A U.S. Border Patrol “Industry Day” deck also asks for #drones, seismic sensors, and tech that can see through walls.

by Sam Biddle
July 23 2025

Excerpt: "U.S. Customs and Border Protection, flush with billions in new funding, is seeking 'advanced AI' technologies to surveil urban residential areas, increasingly sophisticated #autonomous systems, and even the ability to see through walls.

"A CBP presentation for an 'Industry Day' summit with private sector vendors, obtained by The Intercept, lays out a detailed wish list of tech CBP hopes to purchase, like satellite connectivity for #SurveillanceTowers along the #border and improved radio communications. But it also shows that state-of-the-art, AI-augmented surveillance technologies will be central to the Trump administration’s #AntiImmigrant campaign, which will extend deep into the interior of the North American continent, hundreds of miles from international borders as commonly understood.

"The recent passage of Trump’s sprawling flagship legislation funnels tens of billions of dollars to the #DepartmentOfHomelandSecurity. While much of that funding will go to Immigration and Customs Enforcement to bolster the administration’s arrest and deportation operations, a great deal is earmarked to purchase new technology and equipment for federal offices tasked with preventing immigrants from arriving in the first place: Customs and Border Protection, which administers the country’s border surveillance apparatus, and its subsidiary, the U.S. Border Patrol.

"One page of the presentation, describing the wishlist of Border Patrol’s Law Enforcement Operations Division, says the agency needs '#AdvancedAI to identify and track suspicious activity in urban environment [sic],' citing the 'challenges' posed by 'Dense residential areas.' What’s considered '#SuspiciousActivity' is left unmentioned.
Customs and Border Protection did not respond to questions posed about the slides by The Intercept."

Read more:
theintercept.com/2025/07/23/cb

Archived version:
archive.ph/ohLtM

The Intercept · Border Patrol Wants Advanced AI to Spy on American CitiesBy Sam Biddle

𝐌𝐞𝐠𝐚𝐭𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐝 **#19** - Temporal Commerce: "The future of commerce isn't about selling products, but selling time. The winners will deliver value before it's requested." - Futurist Jim Carroll

--
(Futurist Jim Carroll is writing a series on 30 Megatrends, which he first outlined in his book Dancing in the Rain: How Bold Leaders Grow Stronger in Stormy Times. The trends were shared in the book as a way of demonstrating that, despite any period of economic volatility, there is always long-term opportunity to be found. The book is now in print - learn more at dancing.jimcarroll.com)
--

Time is becoming the scarcest resource. Business models built around time efficiency, anticipatory delivery, and frictionless transactions create premium opportunities in virtually every sector.

Let's call it The Time Economy: Navigating the Disruptive Rise of Temporal Commerce. The full PDF report is right here.

pdf.jimcarroll.com/Megatrend19

Consider this reality: In the 21st-century economy, a profound shift is underway. For decades, capital and then information were the most prized and contested resources. Today, a new asset has emerged as the ultimate measure of value: time.

The finite, non-renewable, and constantly depleting nature of time for every individual and organization is elevating it to the status of the scarcest resource. And from this fundamental scarcity, a new economic paradigm is materializing: temporal commerce (or time-based commerce).

What's behind it? There are several key ideas at work:

Frictionless Ecosystems. The elimination of transactional pauses through technologies like seamless digital payments, biometric authentication, and integrated ‘super-apps’ drastically reduces the cognitive and temporal cost of purchasing.

Anticipatory Logistics. The shift from a reactive to a proactive supply chain, using predictive analytics and AI to forecast demand and pre-position goods closer to the consumer, collapsing delivery times from days to minutes.

Autonomous Execution. The deployment of robotic systems—including aerial drones and ground vehicles—to execute the final leg of the supply chain with a speed and efficiency unattainable by human labor.

This trend often seems crazy to most people, but keep in mind that Amazon, as expected, is at the forefront of these trends and innovates at a furious pace. We already have much of the technology, have become used to the idea of a change in how we shop - and are now seeing the arrival of a lot of bold ideas.

#Time #Commerce #Frictionless #Anticipatory #Autonomous #Innovation #Efficiency #Technology #Delivery #Future

Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/07/decodin

The #UK government is consulting on new laws for self-driving passenger services, set to launch from spring 2026. The Automated Passenger Services (APS) permitting scheme, open for feedback until 28 September 2025, will shape how taxi-, private-hire- and bus-like autonomous vehicles are regulated. The scheme focuses on safety, accessibility, and innovation, supporting the UK’s Plan for Change by creating 38,000 jobs and a £42bn industry. Trials without safety drivers will begin next year. The consultation invites views from the public, industry, and stakeholders on key issues such as accessibility, local council approvals, and permit rules. The Automated Vehicles Act, coming into full effect in 2027, will enforce strict safety standards, ensuring #autonomous services are as safe as skilled human drivers.
gov.uk/government/news/next-st

GOV.UK · Next steps for self-driving vehicles as future passengers help shape self-driving vehicles lawBy Department for Transport

@TheMorpheus oder @heiseonline zufolge (habs gerade vergessen, wer es war) benötigt man zum Betreiben eines vollständig gewichteten AI-Modells von #deepseek gerade mal 25 High End Grafikkarten. Vielleicht etwas mehr - das wären nach Adam Ries circa 100.000 € für eine Privatperson viel, für eine Gruppe nicht. Da Deepseek unter echter FOSS MIT-Lizenz steht. Kann man das lokal und theoretisch offline betreiben. Wenn man Angst vor den Maoisten hat. Man könnte diese KI anlernen. So mit Aristoteles, Bakunin und Assange? Das müsste man nur machen - zusammen wär das möglich. #ki #ai #deepseek #autonomous #anonymous #resist