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#deterrence

1 post1 participant0 posts today

US general says NATO could seize Russia’s Kaliningrad in unheard of speed

#Kaliningrad Oblast, wedged between #Poland & #Lithuania, is surrounded by #NATO territory and spans just 75 km across

His remarks come amid the new allied strategy known as the Eastern Flank #Deterrence Line

The land domain is becoming more important. You can now take down area-denial bubbles from the ground. You can now take over sea from ground. All of this is happening in #Ukraine

kyivindependent.com/us-general

The Kyiv Independent · US general says NATO could seize Russia's Kaliningrad 'unheard of' fastBy Tim Zadorozhnyy

“Iran's tragic mistake: The criminal Israeli-American aggression should serve as a moment of clarity for Iran”

by Palestine Will Be Free on Substack

@palestine
@israel

“The one thing that would have made it [Iran] absolutely untouchable to Israeli-American aggression is actually acquiring nuclear weapons”

open.substack.com/pub/palestin

Palestine Will Be Free · Iran's tragic mistakeBy Palestine Will Be Free
#Press#US#Israel
Replied in thread

@haui yeah, the Guarantors of the West (#UK & #USA) failed to follow their contractual obligations, making them unreliable.

In fact, their non-action enabled Putin and they can be glad #Ukraine didn't took the logical consequence of leaving the #NPT citing said failure as reasoning.

  • Already these developments send shockwaves as they make it abundantly clear that one cannot trust any #UN #VetoPower and the only #deterrence against #Russia deciding to genocide one from the map is #nuclear, which is seemingly the inconvenient reality...

Ukraine Daily summary - Thursday, March 19 2025

US scales down efforts in countering Russian sabotage -- Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant in focus of Ukraine peace talks. What's at stake -- Trump Jr., Witkoff, Carlson involved in secret talks with Zelensky's rivals -- Zelensky confirms new arrival of F-16 jets to Ukraine -- US may relinquish leadership of NATO's European command -- and more

writeworks.uk/~/UkraineDaily/U

writeworks.ukUkraine Daily summary - Thursday, March 19 2025US scales down efforts in countering Russian sabotage -- Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant in focus of Ukraine peace talks. What's at stake -- Trump Jr., Witkoff, Carlson involved in secret talks with Zelensky's rivals -- Zelensky confirms new arrival of F-16 jets to Ukraine -- US may relinquish leadership of NATO's European command -- and more
#finland#rl#f16s

@alexlunaview nodds in agreement

The #War against #Ukraine must end with Kiyv winning, and I don't just mean #StatusQuoAnteBellum (1994-2011), but full #EU & #NATO membership with stationed #troops and #nukes.

Replied in thread

@larryneufeld

I believe Canada needs to develop an effective #deterrence #threat to keep Mango Mussolini at bay - but we need it, like, yesterday.

Nuclear weapons - possibly purchased from France, since the USA might have too much influence over the UK - would do the trick. We wouldn't need a lot, just enough to make a couple getting through to D.C. and New York a realistic possibility.

It shocks me to have to seriously consider this threat. Canada hasn't seriously worried about a US #invasion since the '50s or '60s.

Continued thread

Japan imports most of its fossil fuels, still depending on Russia for 9% of LNG needs (Australia supplies about 40%). For uranium, Japan looks to Australia, Canada & Kazakhstan.
OTOH a 2022 paper from ANU claimed "Japan has 14 times more solar and offshore wind resources than needed to supply 100% renewable electricity".
So unspoken reasons for Japan's leaders needing excuses for expanding nuclear🤔
sciencedirect.com/science/arti
#Japan #nuclear #deterrence

Ukraine Daily summary - Friday, December 6 2024

30 years ago today, Ukraine traded nuclear arms for security assurances, a decision that still haunts Kyiv today -- Ukrainian forces to receive 30,000 DeepStrike drones in 2025 -- 'Not a single day did this document work' — Zelensky on 30th anniversary of Budapest Memorandum -- A more dangerous Russia: UK armed forces chief issues stark 'third nuclear age' warning -- Coffin prices in Russia have soared by 74% since start of full-scale invasion -- and more

writeworks.uk/~/UkraineDaily/U

writeworks.ukUkraine Daily summary - Friday, December 6 202430 years ago today, Ukraine traded nuclear arms for security assurances, a decision that still haunts Kyiv today -- Ukrainian forces to receive 30,000 DeepStrike drones in 2025 -- 'Not a single day did this document work' — Zelensky on 30th anniversary of Budapest Memorandum -- A more dangerous Russia: UK armed forces chief issues stark 'third nuclear age' warning -- Coffin prices in Russia have soared by 74% since start of full-scale invasion -- and more
Continued thread

No retaliation to @israel assassinations in foreign countries:

An Arab diplomat from the Gulf said: “@iran desperately wants an off-ramp”.

An expert said: “The fact is that very significant figures in Iran have argued against responding. By their narrative, Netanyahu wants to burn the region down and pull the US into a wider war. Why should Iran fall into the trap?”

middleeasteye.net/news/why-ira

Middle East EyeWhy Iran and Hezbollah have not yet responded to Israel's assassinationsIsrael's twin killings leave Iran with 'catastrophically bad options', as Israel flaunts its escalation dominance
Replied in thread

"...it is difficult for the Taigei-class to carry the VLS (Vertical Launching System) because of its relatively small hull size and limited power supply compared to nuclear submarines"
But:
"Admiral Sakai Ryo, chief of staff of the JMSDF, [said] “That’s definitely something we have to consider in the future. There will be submarines equipped with the vertical launching system (VLS) that can launch Tomahawk missiles"
navalnews.com/naval-news/2024/
#Japan #nuclear #deterrence

Naval News · Japan Commissions Third Taigei-class Submarine - Naval NewsThe Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force (JMSDF) has commissioned the third of its Taigei-class diesel-electric attack submarines (SSK).
Replied in thread

@Radical_EgoCom @AnarchistArt Arbiter Voice "Were it so easy..."

Do you really want to know why #Germany, in spite of having >40M illegal guns in circulation isn't boiling or experiencing even a fraction of #violence the #USA does even when adjusted per capita and #guns?

I think #JStark was right in terms of "#Deterrence" as a means to discourage bad actors.

  • Just like noone's trying to mug #cops and relieve them of their weapons because the attempt will at least end up getting handcuffed by them or worse...

OFC I wish for a peaceful world where no arms are needed, but sadly forcing the masses to be disarmed only makes them weak to opression by [non-] state actors and dependent on [de-facto] state actors for their protection.

  • Not that I'm an anarchist: I don't think Governments are inherently and irredeemably bad per concept: But what's important is the kind of people in power and how Power is split and fractured to make facism hard if not impossible ...

I refuse to violate the rules and laws despite disagreeing with them as a matter of principle: It's harder to advocate for change or be taken seriously as a convict - even in the case of a victimless crime...