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Alt FedNews SubredditSOURCE: <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/fednews/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.reddit.com/r/fednews/</a>**I only post the hottest 10 posts in the subreddit.**Analysis of New Performance Award Amounts Based on New OPM Guidance MemoReference: Guidance for Awards for Federal Employees (August 11, 2025)Some back-of-the-envelope calculations below. Please feel free to point out errors. I was just curious how this might play out. _________________________________Assumptions:A key thing they leave out is their desired "normalized" distribution of 4 and 5 ratings for non-SES. They mention the SES distribution should be no more than 30% of SESs rated at 4 or 5, so let's assume the same would apply to non-SES.Also, the number of less-than-fully-successful ratings is usually less than 1%. It's safe to assume they'll want that increased, because they want to "normalize" (i.e., pit employees against each other for recognition; you can only succeed and receive an award when you are in competition against your coworkers pursuant to Russ Vought's "put them in trauma" ethical system), so let's assume 5% will be less-than-fully-successful. They want 60% of the award pool going to 4s and 5s. So that leaves 40% for 3s, capped at 1% of salary._________________________________Simplified version of how those numbers play out:# of employees: 100Award pool: $100Rated less than fully successful (5%): 5 employees sharing $0, average award amount = $0.00Rated fully successful (65%): 65 employees sharing $40, average award amount = $0.62Rated higher than fully successful (30%): 30 employees sharing $60, average award amount = $2.00_________________________________Some closer-to-reality numbers:# of employees: 100Average salary: $100,000Award pool (1.5% of total salaries): $150,000Rated less than fully successful (5%): 5 employees sharing $0, average award amount = $0.00Rated fully successful (65%): 65 employees sharing $60,000, average award amount = $923Rated higher than fully successful (30%): 30 employees sharing $90,000, average award amount = $3,000_________________________________Where the current state of affairs (according to the memo) is that fully successful people are averaging awards of 2.4% of salary, and outstanding people are averaging 4.2%, this will change those numbers to about 1% and 3%, respectively.I think the biggest takeaway is the change for the fully successful group. The only thing the changes will accomplish is to piss off the 65% of employees, in line with Russ Vought's ethics. Where in the past, a fully successful employee who makes $100,000 a year would have received about $2,400, they are now arbitrarily capped at $1,000. These are all pre-tax numbers, so it's more like $600-$700 max payout for being fully successful under the new system, rather than $1,440-$1,680. This is for $100,000 salary, and the median salary is going to be lower than that, so the new award for fully successful will basically be unnoticeable for most people. Another way to say it is that for the 65% of people, the new award will be about 2.5 times less than what they received in the past. (After-tax, $1,680 vs $700.)_________________________________This is just my take. Some rough calculations I thought people might find interesting. Someone poke holes in my numbers, please. ------<a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/fednews/comments/1mp7r5z/analysis_of_new_performance_award_amounts_based/?utm_source=ifttt" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.reddit.com/r/fednews/comments/1mp7r5z/analysis_of_new_performance_award_amounts_based/?utm_source=ifttt</a>r/fednews is the main subreddit for US Federal government workers.This robot is NOT affiliated with r/fednews. It merely rebroadcasts the top 10 hottest posts. Responses here are only seen in the Fediverse. 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