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#climatemodelling

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🚨 Video alert! Our latest multimedia piece is out and we are excited to share it with you ▶️

🔎 What is this video about?: The visualizations in this video provide a colorful and creative representation of our modelling endeavors. Additionally, the captivating images demonstrate the playful fluctuations of various components of our Earth system, including clouds, aerosols, thermal radiation, and temperature, over the course of the present and future years — specifically between 2021 and 2030.

📽️ Video creation: This illustrative work has been produced with the Earth System models used by #nextGEMS: ICON and IFS-FESOM. #ICON is a model was developed by the @MPI_Meteo and the German Climate Computing Center, while hashtag#IFS-FESOM developed by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.

🌐 Don't miss out on this visual #ClimateModelling venture! Watch out video here: nextgems-h2020.eu/media-librar 🎦

🌍 Day 2 of the WCRP Global KM-Scale Hackathon 2025 is off to an incredible start!👩‍💻

📍 At the Hamburg node, participants have formed dynamic groups tackling topics like cloud climatology, aerosols, ice sheets, and more. Moreover, computing companies such as NVIDIA and climate modelling initiatives like DestinE Platform are also on-site, joining forces to push the boundaries of #ClimateScience. 💡

🔷 #nextGEMS is backing this groundbreaking global event, which brings together scientists, developers, students, and data experts from around the world to accelerate progress in kilometer-scale #EarthSystemModeling. 🌐

#kh25 #Hackathon #ClimateEvent #ScienceCommunication #ClimateChange #ClimateModelling #Meteorology @MPI_Meteo

Whilst I'm getting my Friday afternoon paddle in the fantastically glorious weather in Copenhagen it may be a good moment to remind you that we're hiring for several brilliant jobs at @dmidk just now. Including with me on #IceSheet SMB and regional #Climate modelling in #Greenland and #Antarctica

#Fedijobs #AcademicJobs #GetFediHired #friluftsliv #Copenhagen #Denmark #ScandiLifeStyle #ClimateJobs #ClimateModelling

dmi.dk/job-og-karriere/ledige-

#InternationalWomensDay | Today, we want to honor the brilliant female minds shaping the future of #ClimateModelling🌟. Meet the talented women who showcased their expertise at our #hackathon this week, exemplifying excellence in Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics (#STEM). Their contributions highlight the invaluable role of #WomenInSTEM, inspiring us all to strive for inclusivity, diversity, and equality in scientific endeavors.

Happy International Women's Day! 💫👩‍🔬🌍 #IWD2024

Really outstanding work from Leeds Uni Remote sensing, led by Ben Davison, on observed changes to #Antarctic #IceShelves

This was a highlight presentation of @OceanIceEU workshop bringing #EarthObservation + #climateModelling communities together earlier this year - which I am now coincidentally writing up as a report + recommendations for publication as I travel by #crossBorderRail today...

Worth a read, Ben is really good at beautiful easy to interpret graphics.

science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv

I was wondering why #BigTech companies were pushing into #WeatherPrediction and #ClimateModelling, but this assessment by a Swiss official seems plausible.
"Big Tech’s arrival on the weather forecasting scene is not purely based on scientific curiosity. [...] Our economies are becoming increasingly dependent on weather, especially with the rise of renewable energy. [...] Tech companies’ businesses are also linked to weather"
technologyreview.com/2023/07/1

MIT Technology Review · Weather forecasting is having an AI momentBy Melissa Heikkilä

This morning is a joint workshop on the #AMOC + #ClimateModelling with @meteireann - some interesting recent work on the impact on the #SeaLevelRise alone of the dynamical component of #ocean circulation

link.springer.com/article/10.1

SpringerLinkGreenhouse-gas forced changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and related worldwide sea-level change - Climate DynamicsThe effect of anthropogenic climate change in the ocean is challenging to project because atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) respond differently to forcing. This study focuses on changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), ocean heat content ( $$\Delta$$ Δ OHC), and the spatial pattern of ocean dynamic sea level ( $$\Delta \zeta$$ Δ ζ ). We analyse experiments following the FAFMIP protocol, in which AOGCMs are forced at the ocean surface with standardised heat, freshwater and momentum flux perturbations, typical of those produced by doubling $$\hbox {CO}_{{2}}$$ CO 2 . Using two new heat-flux-forced experiments, we find that the AMOC weakening is mainly caused by and linearly related to the North Atlantic heat flux perturbation, and further weakened by a positive coupled heat flux feedback. The quantitative relationships are model-dependent, but few models show significant AMOC change due to freshwater or momentum forcing, or to heat flux forcing outside the North Atlantic. AMOC decline causes warming at the South Atlantic-Southern Ocean interface. It does not strongly affect the global-mean vertical distribution of $$\Delta$$ Δ OHC, which is dominated by the Southern Ocean. AMOC decline strongly affects $$\Delta \zeta$$ Δ ζ in the North Atlantic, with smaller effects in the Southern Ocean and North Pacific. The ensemble-mean $$\Delta \zeta$$ Δ ζ and $$\Delta$$ Δ OHC patterns are mostly attributable to the heat added by the flux perturbation, with smaller effects from ocean heat and salinity redistribution. The ensemble spread, on the other hand, is largely due to redistribution, with pronounced disagreement among the AOGCMs.

Interesting:

"The impact of a single shared component on pairwise RMSEs is visible for almost all the variables studied here, and the more components are shared, the stronger the reduction of RMSE is. The differences caused by the simple change of resolution or addition of secondary components are generally small, not necessarily much bigger than the impact of internal variability for future changes."

(Boe 2018 on climate model independence,
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/ab
#ClimateModelling)

From François Massonnet in the other place, reporting a recent seminar in UCLouvain:

"On climate models, Prof. Thomas Stocker nails it:

« We don’t need one, but rather a hierarchy of climate models, so that we can extract just the right amount of information needed for decision making »"

(So, I’d link to this, but if twitter wont let anyone link to mastodon, I can choose not to link to twitter, so apologies Francois)

(I was over there cleaning up.)

Having looked at DCPP, I’ve been looking at other #cmip6 MIPS.

ScenarioMIP (O’Neill et al 2016, view.es-doc.org/index.html?ren, and geosci-model-dev.net/9/3461/20) resulted in just under 220,000 simulated years (with 80,000 of those done in Europe):

rcp26-cmip5 949
rcp45-cmip5 949
rcp85-cmip5 949
ssp119 21759
ssp126 45637
ssp245 50086
ssp370 30452
ssp434 6787
ssp460 6957
ssp534-over 12694
ssp585 41758

view.es-doc.orgES-DOC - Viewer

Belated #introduction. Expat #kiwi living in Europe, albeit a bit with an identity crisis. Will toot about the #uk, sorry!

Into #climate, #ClimateScience & #ClimateModelling (particularly #ESM and #hydrology) using #CloudComputing & #HPC.
Also #DataScience, #DigitalCuration #metadata & the philosophy & practice of #simulation in all sci.

History: I brought the internet to the south island of NZ & invented and ran #jasmin for 10y (jasmin.ac.uk) Helped procure #Archer & #Archer2.

jasmin.ac.ukJASMIN Site